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Jul26
John Batelle Says YouTube NOT Worth $1 Billion
I'd have to agree with John on this one.  I thought Morpheus and Napster (old napster) were great, they certainly were popular, but they weren't worth the legal hassles for someone to buy them.  YouTube is in the same boat.

As John points out, it would make most sense for a "major entertainment company, like the ones mentioned in the [NY] Post piece" to buy YouTube.  However, the ink wouldn't even be dry on the page before the lawsuits from competing entertainment companies come in, demanding their content be deleted from the site.

The comments, as always, are the best part of John's post.  Peter Cranstone says:
Let's be boring capitalists shall we. How much revenue is You Tube generating vs. how much is it spending. Then lets take a multiple of revenue and use that as a starting point.

From what I can learn on the web revenue they are currently at zero dollars of revenue. Not hard to do the math on that one. Expenses are currently $20 million plus a year for bandwidth, storage, and G&A.

What's the cost for a user to switch from You Tube to another "free" storage site - nothing.

Jim points out the danger of holding out for the big bucks:
...if Bebo or YouTube holds out for the big money TOO long they'll simply get shoved out by other players or the total saturation of the marketplace (which is already happening).

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« Interview with Stuff On My Cat Blogger Mario Garza | Main | Blog Business Summit - Seattle - October 25-27th »

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